Ecological Systems and Devices Annotation << Back THE METHOD OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT DURING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SHELF BASED ON THE MATHEMATICAL MODELING N.V. Solovyova, M.Yu. Khudoshina This paper proposes a method of mathematical modeling of environmental risk in the development of shelf resources. It is based on a synthesis of dynamic, logical-information and probabilistic modeling techniques. Calculations based on a dynamic model gives quantitative changes in environmental performance, and qualitative transformation of ecosystem structure refl ects the logical-information model. Environmental risk assessment is based on a probabilistic model of ekoskrining. The proposed approach is a convenient tool for forecasting and policy recommendations for the safe development of the shelf resources. Keywords: modeling; shelf ecosystem; logical-information model; a probabilistic model; environmental risk. Contacts: E-mail: soloceanic@yandex.ru Pp. 22-31.