Ecological Systems and Devices Annotation << Back THE MODELING FREQUENCY CHANGE OF TECHNOSPHERE FIRES IN RUSSIA IN THE SHORT TERM V.A. Svetlosanov, T.V. Vaschalova, V.N. Kudin Technosphere fi res is one of the most signifi cant threats to sustainable socio-economic development of the country. Correlation analysis of long – term statistical series of the frequency of fi res has allowed to detail that the most important is the number of population of the region. Mathematical model, built on the base of twenty-year time series of statistical data makes possible to construct a baseline scenario of the change of the frequency of technospheric fi res for two Russian Federation regions. Keywords: statistical and correlation analysis; harmonics; technosphere fi res; number population. Contacts: E-mail: vsvetlos@mail.ru Pp. 37-44.