Ecological Systems and Devices Annotation << Back GEOECOLOGICAL FORECAST AND ENERGY USE B.I. Kochurov, I.V. Ivashkina, Yu.I. Yermakova, N.V. Fomina The purpose of this study is to develop methodological approaches to geoecological forecasting. The definition of the economic forecast, the structure of the search functions of the ecological forecast information system, and the ecological forecast scheme as a system consisting of several blocks connected by the purpose are given: socio-economic, natural and geoecological. Particular attention in environmental forecasting is given to studying the trends and trends in the energy use (oil, gas, coal), which have the greatest impact on the state of the environment and, especially, in urban areas, where the environmental problems of motor vehicles have taken a leading position over the past decade, which is already fraught with serious consequences for the population living on them. The arguments for and against the transfer of vehicles to gas engine fuel and electricity are presented. The forecast is largely ambiguous. Data are given indicating the great prospects for the use of electric vehicles, and above all for the preservation of the natural environment. Evidence of this is the peak of sales in recent years of electric cars and hybrid cars, especially in developed countries in Europe, the USA and China. The latter has already begun to have about a third of all electric vehicles and hybrids available in the world. At the same time, it is noted that an increase in the demand for electricity can lead to an increase in the load of thermal power plants (TPPs) on the natural environment and its negative change. For a number of reasons, the possibilities of alternative energy are still modest and its sharp growth is not expected in the coming years. In the current situation in the world, a balanced approach to the interaction of society and nature can significantly stop the degradation of the natural environment and improve its condition. Keywords: geoecological forecast; energy carriers; oil; gas; coal; electric power; automobile transport; electric vehicles; gas engine fuel. DOI: 10.25791/esip.04.2020.1150 Pp. 40-51.