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Ecological Systems and Devices

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DEVELOPMENT OF A MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR FORECASTING ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION IN INDUSTRIALLY DEVELOPED REGIONS
V.M. Panarin, A.A. Maslova, K.V. Grishakov, O.V. Grishakova, D.V. Treshchev

A mathematical model for predicting environmental pollution in industrialized regions is considered, the distinctive feature of which is its functionality in the field of zoning territories depending on weather conditions that form within the industrial region under study. The information flow matrix describes the indicators of the current zoning, in the short term and in retrospect. Modeling of atmospheric pollution processes, including forecasting environmental pollution in industrialized regions, removes a number of inaccuracies and solves such problems as choosing a scheme for the rational placement of monitoring posts (stationary and mobile), determining the contribution of a particular industrial facility to total air pollution in real time in order to adopt management emission regulation measures. These developments will help to take a step forward in the field of environmental protection and environmental monitoring. The results of territorial zoning can find their application in the distribution of technogenic loads on the atmosphere of an industrial region.
Keywords: environmental monitoring, forecasting, atmospheric pollution, industrialized area, modeling.


DOI: 10.25791/esip.1.2023.1347

Pp. 17-24.

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